Nakuba ezinye izinto ezithengiswa ekhaya zibuthakathaka, ikusasa likakotini “lisebenze kakhulu” futhi laqala ukukhuphuka kusukela ngasekupheleni kukaMashi.Ngokukhethekile, ngemva kokuphela kuka-March, intengo yenkontileka eyinhloko yekusasa likakotini engu-2309 yenyuka kancane kancane, ukukhuphuka okuqongelelekayo okungaphezu kuka-10%, inani eliphakeme kakhulu le-intraday lifinyelele ku-15510 yuan/ton, ngenxa yokukhuphuka okusha cishe isigamu sonyaka.

isithombe

Isitayela sakamuva sikakotini

U-Zheng Mian uyavuka futhi

Ukuxubha okuqhubekayo ngaphezu konyaka nesigamu ukuphakama

Ngasikhathi sinye, ukugxila kwasekhaya ohlangothini lokuhlinzekwa kwezindaba ezinhle, ukotini weZheng uqhubeke nokuvuselela okuphezulu.Ngo-Ephreli 28, inkontileka eyinhloko ka-Zheng kakotini yavalwa ngo-15485 yuan/ton, okuwukunyuka kwansuku zonke ngo-1.37%.Futhi inkontileka yake yafinyelela ku-15,510 yuan/ton, ngaphezu konyaka nengxenye inani lentengo elikhulu liphezulu.

Ikusasa likakotini le-ICE likhuphuke ngobusuku obubodwa ngemuva kokuthi umbiko we-USDA ukhombise ukwanda okukhulu kokuthengiswa kukakotini.Inkontileka kakotini ye-ICE July ikhuphuke ngo-2.04 cents, noma amaphesenti angu-2.6, ukuze ihlale ku-78.36 cents iphawundi.

Emakethe yasekhaya, ukwehla kwendawo yokutshala uNyaka Omusha yasekhaya kuhlangene nesimo sezulu esibi ezindaweni ezikhiqiza ukotini eziyinhloko, uhlangothi lokuhlinzeka ngezindaba ezinhle zokukhuthaza isikhungo samanani kakotini we-gravity.Kodwa-ke, ukuguquka kwesimo sezulu kanye nokutshala ukotini nokukhula kusadinga ukulandelelwa ngokuqhubekayo, futhi kusazobhekwa ukuthi isimo sokuvuna singenzeka yini ngoNyaka Omusha.Isidingo, ama-oda amasha omfula ngokuvamile, ukukhathazeka kwesidingo kukhawulela inkambiso yamanani kakotini.Inhlangano ye-China Cotton Association mayelana nenqubekelaphambili yocwaningo lwembewu kakotini kazwelonke ikhombisa ukuthi maphakathi no-April, izimo zezulu zalo nyaka azihambisani nokuhlwanyela, inqubekela phambili yokuhlwanyela ihamba kancane kunangonyaka odlule, ukuncipha kokukhiqizwa kokutshala kulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke ukuvubela, kwakha amandla. ukwesekwa kwentengo kakotini kaZheng, intengo kakotini kaZheng kulindeleke ukuthi igcine umkhuba wokushaqeka wesikhashana.Iholide likaMeyi Day liyasondela, qaphela ubungozi beholide elide.

Izici zamandla kakotini wasekhaya

Ukuthuthukiswa kwangaphandle, ngesikhathi esifanayo ukwesekwa kokuhlinzekwa kwasekhaya.U-Zheng Mian ugcina ukuthambekela okuqinile.

Ngokombono womsunguli we-Medium Futures Research Institute umhlaziyi wekotini u-Bloomberg, amandla akamuva kakotini wasekhaya, ikakhulukazi ahlobene nezici eziningana, enye ingozi enkulu ka-March ngenxa yokukhululwa kwesikhashana esifushane kwe-Federal Reserve, ukwethuka kwemakethe kwadamba;Okwesibili, okuyisisekelo embonini kakotini yasekhaya ngokuvamile igcina iphethini yokululama kancane, izinto eziyisisekelo zingcono kuneminyaka emibili eyedlule, ukubuyiswa kokusetshenziswa kwasekhaya kuyashesha, kuhlangene nendawo yokutshala kulo nyaka kuyancipha uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule, imakethe ikholelwa ukuthi lokhu ukunikezwa konyaka kuzoncishiswa;Okwesithathu, izibalo zokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe bezingcono kunalokho obekulindelwe, ikakhulukazi kwikota yokuqala, ebone ukwanda kwezimpahla ezithunyelwa e-ASEAN nase-Afrika, okuvuselele ithemba lemakethe ngekusasa.

Nakuba amanani kakotini nentambo kakotini asanda kukhuphuka, isiphetho semakethe asishisi njengemakethe yekusasa.Kungabonakala ukuthi ngemva kokuba intengo kakotini ikhuphuke yafinyelela ku-15300 yuan/ton, isidingo esingaphansi komfula sasibucayi kakhulu.Ethintwe ukukhuphuka kukakotini, intengo yezinye izinhlobo zezintambo zikakotini yaphakama, futhi iningi lahlala lizinzile.Ngokuvakashela nokuqonda amabhizinisi angezansi, kutholakala ukuthi intengo kakotini yamanje iyenyuka, intambo kakotini ikhuphuka kancane, kodwa imboni yokuluka ayamukelwa.Izingubo zokugcina, indwangu yaqala ukunqwabelana.Uma isidingo sangaphakathi nangaphandle singaqali, iketango lezimboni kusukela phansi kuya phezulu, maduze intambo kakotini izoqala ukunqwabelana.Uma isidingo sangaphakathi nesangaphandle singakwazi ukuhlehliswa ngokuphelele ngaphambi kokuphela konyaka, ukuchithwa kwetheminali akukwazi ukwenziwa ngempumelelo, kungase kube inhlekelele 'yokukhiqiza ngokweqile'.

Ngokombono wenkathi evamile, ngoMeyi kuya kuJulayi ngesizini ephansi yesizini, kulo nyaka kuphinde kwavela isimo esithile "senkathi ephakeme kakhulu asiphumeleli", ukuntuleka kwama-oda kuseyisici esibalulekile esihlupha umfula, silindele ukuthi intengo kakotini isimo akukho alulame abalulekile isidingo kunzima ukulondoloza okusezingeni eliphezulu, ntambama intengo kunzima ukulondoloza high, Kwangathi ukuqapha ukotini oscillations awe.