Ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kwenhlangano yezimboni enegunya, isimo sakamuva esibikwe yi-US Department of Agriculture ngoDisemba sibonisa ukuqhubeka kwesidingo esibuthakathaka kulo lonke uchungechunge lokuhlinzeka, kanti igebe lokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo somhlaba wonke linciphile laya kuma-bale angu-811,000 kuphela (ukukhiqizwa kwama-bale ayizigidi ezingu-112.9 kanye nokusetshenziswa kwama-bale ayizigidi ezingu-113.7), okuyinto encane kakhulu kunangoSepthemba nango-Okthoba. Ngaleso sikhathi, igebe lokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo somhlaba wonke kwakulindeleke ukuthi lidlule amaphakethe ayizigidi ezingu-3 (izigidi ezingu-3.5 ngoSepthemba kanye nezigidi ezingu-3.2 ngo-Okthoba). Ubuthakathaka begebe phakathi kokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo kusho ukuthi ukwenyuka kwamanani kakotini kungase kwehle.
Ngaphezu kokuncipha kwegebe lokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo somhlaba wonke, mhlawumbe okubaluleke kakhulu ekuqondisweni kwamanani umbuzo oqhubekayo wesidingo. Kusukela ngoMeyi, isilinganiso se-USDA sokusetshenziswa kwefektri yomhlaba wonke sehle sisuka kuma-bale ayizigidi ezingu-121.5 saya kuma-bale ayizigidi ezingu-113.7 (ukwehla okuhlanganisiwe kwama-bale ayizigidi ezingu-7.8 phakathi kukaMeyi noDisemba). Imibiko yakamuva yemboni iyaqhubeka nokuchaza isidingo esihamba kancane kanye nemingcele yemishini yokugaya enselele. Izibikezelo zokusetshenziswa cishe zizokwehla kakhulu ngaphambi kokuba isimo sokusetshenziswa sithuthuke futhi sakhe phansi.
Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukwehla kokukhiqizwa kukakotini emhlabeni wonke kuye kwenza buthaka inani eliningi likakotini emhlabeni wonke. Kusukela ekuqaleni kwe-USDA yabikezela ngoMeyi, isibikezelo sokukhiqizwa kukakotini emhlabeni wonke sehlisiwe kusuka kuma-bale ayizigidi ezingu-119.4 kuya kuma-bale ayizigidi ezingu-113.5 (ukwehla okuhlanganisiwe kwama-bale ayizigidi ezingu-5.9 ngoMeyi-Disemba). Ukwehla kokukhiqizwa kukakotini emhlabeni wonke ngesikhathi sokufunwa okubuthakathaka kungenzeka ukuthi kuvimbele amanani kakotini ekwehleni kakhulu.
Imakethe kakotini akuyona yodwa imakethe yezolimo ehluphekile. Uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule, intengo kakotini omusha yehle ngo-6% (intengo yamanje yesikhathi esizayo entsha yi-ICE futures kaDisemba 2024). Amanani ommbila ehle kakhulu, okuphakamisa ukuthi ukotini ukhanga kakhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nalezi zitshalo ezincintisanayo kunangonyaka odlule. Lokhu kusikisela ukuthi ukotini kufanele ukwazi ukugcina noma ukwandisa i-acreage yesivuno sonyaka olandelayo. Uma kuhlanganiswa nethuba lokuthuthukiswa kwezimo zokukhula ezindaweni ezifana nentshonalanga yeTexas (ukufika kwe-El Nino kusho umswakama owengeziwe), umkhiqizo womhlaba wonke unganda ngo-2024/25.
Kusukela manje kuze kube sekupheleni kuka-2024/25, kulindeleke ukuthi ukusimama kwesidingo kufinyelele ezingeni elithile. Kodwa-ke, uma ukuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo sesivuno sonyaka ozayo konke kuhamba ngendlela efanayo, ukukhiqizwa, ukusetshenziswa, kanye namasheya kungase kuqhubeke nokulinganisela, kusekela ukuzinza kwentengo.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Disemba-20-2023