Izindaba zenethiwekhi yeCotton yaseShayina: Ucwaningo lwezindaba oludumile embonini yekotoni yase-United States oluthi “Cotton farmers Magazine” phakathi noDisemba 2023 lubonise ukuthi indawo yokutshala ikotoni yase-United States ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuthi ibe amahektha ayizigidi ezingu-10.19, uma kuqhathaniswa noMnyango Wezolimo wase-United States ngo-Okthoba 2023, indawo yangempela yokutshala ibikezelwe yehle ngamahektha angaba ngu-42,000, ukwehla ngo-0.5%, futhi akukho shintsho olubalulekile uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule.
Isibuyekezo sokukhiqizwa kukakotini e-US ngo-2023
Ngonyaka odlule, abalimi bekotini base-US babenethemba ngamathuba okukhiqiza, amanani kakotini ayamukeleka, futhi umswakama womhlabathi ngaphambi kokutshala wawunele, futhi izindawo eziningi ezikhiqiza ukotini kwakulindeleke ukuthi ziqale kahle isizini yokutshala. Kodwa-ke, imvula eningi eCalifornia naseTexas yabangela izikhukhula, amanye amasimu kakotini aguqulwa abe ezinye izitshalo, kanti ukushisa okukhulu kwehlobo kwabangela ukwehla okukhulu kwesivuno sikakotini, ikakhulukazi eNingizimu-ntshonalanga, okusalokhu kubhekene nesomiso esibi kakhulu esike saqoshwa ngo-2022. Isilinganiso se-USDA sika-Okthoba samahektha ayizigidi ezingu-10.23 sango-2023 sibonisa ukuthi zingakanani izimo zezulu nezinye izici zemakethe ezithinte isibikezelo sokuqala samahektha ayizigidi ezingu-11-11.5.
Phenya isimo
Ucwaningo lubonisa ukuthi ubudlelwano phakathi kukakotini namanani ezitshalo ancintisanayo buzothinta kakhulu izinqumo zokutshala. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukwehla kwamandla emali okuqhubekayo, izinkinga zesidingo sikakotini emhlabeni wonke, izinkinga zezepolitiki nezendawo, kanye nezindleko zokukhiqiza eziphakeme njalo nazo zinomthelela obalulekile. Ngokusekelwe ekuhlaziyweni kwesikhathi eside kobudlelwano bentengo phakathi kukakotini nommbila, indawo yekotini yase-US kufanele ibe cishe amahektha ayizigidi eziyi-10.8. Ngokusho kwe-ICE cotton futures yamanje engu-77 cents/pound, corn futures engu-5 dollars/bushel, intengo yamanje kunokwandiswa kukakotini kulo nyaka inhle, kodwa intengo kakotini futures engu-77 cents iyakhanga ngempela kubalimi bakakotini, isifunda sikakotini ngokuvamile sibonisa ukuthi intengo kakotini futures izinzile ngaphezu kwamasenti angu-80 ukwandisa izinhloso zokutshala.
Ucwaningo lubonisa ukuthi ngo-2024, indawo yokutshala ukotini eningizimu-mpumalanga ye-United States ingamahektare ayizigidi ezingu-2.15, ukwehla ngo-8%, kanti indawo yezifundazwe ngeke ikhule, futhi ngokuvamile izinzile futhi yehlile. Isifunda saseNingizimu-mpumalanga kulindeleke ukuthi sibe ngamahektare ayizigidi ezingu-1.65, kanti izifundazwe eziningi ziphansi noma ziphansi kancane, kanti iTennessee kuphela ebone ukwanda okuncane. Indawo eseNingizimu-ntshonalanga yayingamahektare ayizigidi ezingu-6.165, yehle ngo-0.8% unyaka nonyaka, kanti isomiso esikhulu ngo-2022 kanye nokushisa okukhulu ngo-2023 kusathinta kabi ukukhiqizwa kokotini, kodwa isivuno kulindeleke ukuthi siphinde sikhule kancane. Isifunda sasentshonalanga, esimahektare angama-225,000, sehle cishe ngamaphesenti ayi-6 kusukela ngonyaka odlule, nezinkinga zamanzi okunisela kanye namanani okotini athinta ukutshala.
Onyakeni wesibili ilandelana, amanani kakotini nezinye izinto ezingalawuleki kuholele ekutheni abaphenduli bangaqiniseki ngokugcwele ngamathemba okutshala esikhathini esizayo, abanye abaphenduli baze bakholelwe ukuthi indawo yokutshala kakotini yase-US ingase yehle iye kumahektha ayizigidi ezingu-9.8, kanti abanye bakholelwa ukuthi indawo yokutshala kakotini ingakhuphuka iye kumahektha ayizigidi ezingu-10.5. Ucwaningo lwendawo yokutshala kakotini lwe-Cotton Farmers Magazine lubonisa izimo zemakethe kusukela ekupheleni kukaNovemba kuya ekuqaleni kukaDisemba 2023, lapho ukuvunwa kukakotini wase-US kusaqhubeka. Ngokusekelwe eminyakeni edlule, ukunemba kwesibikezelo kuphakeme kakhulu, okunikeza imboni ukudla okuwusizo kokucabanga ngaphambi kokukhishwa kwedatha yendawo ehlosiwe ye-NCC kanye nedatha esemthethweni ye-USDA.
Umthombo: Isikhungo Solwazi Ngokotini saseShayina
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Jan-05-2024