Kunzima ukuhamba! Ama-oda ehle ngo-80% kanti ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuyehla! Ingabe uthola impendulo enhle? Kodwa ngokufanayo ayibi…

I-PMI yokukhiqiza yaseShayina yehle kancane yaya ku-51.9% ngoMashi

Inkomba yabaphathi bokuthenga (i-PMI) yomkhakha wokukhiqiza yayingama-51.9% ngoMashi, yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.7 kusukela enyangeni edlule futhi ingaphezulu kwephuzu elibalulekile, okubonisa ukuthi umkhakha wokukhiqiza uyanda.

Inkomba yemisebenzi yebhizinisi engakhiqizi kanye nenkomba yomkhiqizo we-PMI ehlanganisiwe ifike kumaphesenti angu-58.2 kanye namaphesenti angu-57.0, ngokulandelana, isuka kumaphuzu angu-1.9 kanye namaphesenti angu-0.6 ngenyanga edlule. Lezi zinkomba ezintathu bezilokhu zikhula izinyanga ezintathu zilandelana, okubonisa ukuthi intuthuko yomnotho waseShayina isazinzile futhi iyaqhubeka.

Umbhali wezwa ukuthi imboni yamakhemikhali ibe nekota yokuqala enhle kulo nyaka. Amanye amabhizinisi athi ngenxa yokuthi amakhasimende amaningi ayenesidingo esikhulu sempahla enqolobaneni yokuqala, "azosebenzisa" impahla ethile enqolobaneni ngo-2022. Kodwa-ke, umuzwa jikelele uwukuthi isimo samanje ngeke siqhubeke, futhi isimo semakethe esikhathini esilandelayo asithembisi kakhulu.

Abanye abantu bathi ibhizinisi lilula, alivuthi, yize kukhona uhlu olucacile lwezimpahla, kodwa impendulo yalo nyaka ayithembisi kangako kunangonyaka odlule, ukuthi imakethe elandelayo ayiqinisekile.

Umphathi wenkampani yamakhemikhali uphendule kahle, uthe i-oda lamanje ligcwele, ukuthengisa kukhulu kakhulu kunesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule, kodwa usaqaphela amakhasimende amasha. Isimo samazwe ngamazwe nesasekhaya sibi kakhulu, kanye nokwehla okukhulu kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. Uma isimo samanje siqhubeka, ngiyesaba ukuthi ukuphela konyaka kuzoba nzima futhi.

Amabhizinisi ayahlupheka futhi izikhathi zinzima

Amafektri angu-7,500 avalwa futhi ahlakazwa

Kwikota yokuqala ka-2023, izinga lokukhula komnotho waseVietnam lifinyelele “emaphethelweni amakhulu”, kwaba nempumelelo kanye nokwehluleka kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.

Muva nje, i-Vietnam Economic Review ibike ukuthi ukuntuleka kwama-oda ekupheleni kuka-2022 kusaqhubeka, okuholele ekutheni amabhizinisi amaningi aseningizimu anciphise izinga lokukhiqiza, axoshe abasebenzi futhi anciphise amahora okusebenza…

Njengamanje, amabhizinisi angaphezu kuka-7,500 abhalisele ukumisa imisebenzi ngaphakathi kwesikhathi esinqunyiwe, ukuhlakazwa, noma ukuqedela izinqubo zokuhlakazwa. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ama-oda ezimbonini ezibalulekile zokuthumela ngaphandle njengefenisha, izindwangu, izicathulo kanye nokudla kwasolwandle ehle kakhulu, okubeka ingcindezi enkulu emgomweni wokukhula kokuthumela ngaphandle ngamaphesenti ayi-6 ngo-2023.

Izibalo zakamuva ezivela kwi-General Bureau of Statistics (GSO) yaseVietnam ziqinisekisa lokhu, njengoba ukukhula komnotho kwehla kwaya ku-3.32% kwikota yokuqala yalo nyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa no-5.92% kwikota yesine ka-2022. Isibalo esingu-3.32% siyisibalo sesibili esiphansi kakhulu kwikota yokuqala yaseVietnam eminyakeni eyi-12 futhi cishe siphansi njengoba sasinjalo eminyakeni emithathu edlule lapho kuqala ubhubhane.

Ngokwezibalo, ama-oda ezindwangu nezicathulo zaseVietnam ehle ngamaphesenti angama-70 kuya kwangu-80 kwikota yokuqala. Ukuthunyelwa kwemikhiqizo kagesi kwehle ngamaphesenti ayi-10.9 unyaka nonyaka.

isithombe

NgoMashi, imboni yezicathulo enkulu kunazo zonke eVietnam, iPo Yuen, yathumela idokhumenti eziphathimandleni mayelana nokusebenzisa isivumelwano nabasebenzi abacishe babe ngu-2,400 sokuqeda izinkontileka zabo zomsebenzi ngenxa yobunzima bokuthola ama-oda. Inkampani enkulu, eyayingakwazi ukuqasha abasebenzi abanele ngaphambili, manje isixosha inani elikhulu labasebenzi, izinkampani zesikhumba ezibonakalayo, izicathulo, nezendwangu ziyahlupheka ngempela.

Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kweVietnam kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-14.8 ngoMashi

Ukukhula kwe-GDP kwehle kakhulu kwikota yokuqala

Ngo-2022, umnotho waseVietnam ukhule ngo-8.02% unyaka nonyaka, ukusebenza okudlule okulindelwe. Kodwa ngo-2023, i-“Made in Vietnam” ifinyelele esicongweni. Ukukhula komnotho nakho kuyehla njengoba ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, lapho umnotho uncike khona, kuncipha.

Ukwehla kokukhula kwe-GDP kubangelwe kakhulu ukwehla kwesidingo sabathengi, lapho ukuthengiswa kwamanye amazwe kwehla ngamaphesenti angu-14.8 ngoMashi kunonyaka odlule kanti ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-11.9 kule kota, kusho i-GSO.

isithombe

Lokhu kuhluke kakhulu kunonyaka odlule. Kuwo wonke u-2022, ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla nezinsizakalo eVietnam kufinyelele ku-$384.75 billion. Phakathi kwazo, ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla kwamanye amazwe bekuyi-$371.85 billion, okwenyuke ngo-10.6% kunonyaka odlule; Ukuthunyelwa kwezinsizakalo kwamanye amazwe kufinyelele ku-$12.9 billion, okwenyuke ngo-145.2% unyaka nonyaka.

Umnotho womhlaba wonke usesimweni esiyinkimbinkimbi nesingaqiniseki, okubonisa inkinga ngenxa yokwehla kwamandla emali okuphezulu emhlabeni kanye nesidingo esibuthakathaka, kusho i-GSO. IVietnam ingenye yabathengisi abakhulu emhlabeni bezingubo, izicathulo kanye nefenisha, kodwa engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2023, ibhekene "nentuthuko engazinzile neyinkimbinkimbi emnothweni womhlaba."

isithombe

Njengoba amanye amazwe eqinisa inqubomgomo yezimali, umnotho womhlaba uyasimama kancane kancane, kunciphisa isidingo sabathengi kubalingani abakhulu bezohwebo. Lokhu kube nomthelela ekuthengisweni nasekuthunyelweni kwezimpahla eVietnam.

Embikweni wangaphambilini, iBhange Lomhlaba lithe izimpahla kanye nezomnotho ezixhomeke ekuthunyelweni kwamanye amazwe njengeVietnam zisengozini enkulu yokwehla kwesidingo, okuhlanganisa nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.

Izibikezelo ezibuyekeziwe ze-Wto:

Ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke kwehle ku-1.7% ngo-2023

Akuyona iVietnam kuphela. INingizimu Korea, izwe elihamba phambili emnothweni womhlaba, nayo iyaqhubeka nokuhlushwa ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe okubuthakathaka, okwengeza ekukhathazekeni ngesimo sayo somnotho kanye nokwehla kwezomnotho emhlabeni jikelele.

Idatha ekhishwe yi-Industry Ministry ikhombisile ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla kwamanye amazwe kwehle ngenyanga yesithupha ilandelana ngoMashi ngenxa yesidingo esibuthakathaka somhlaba wonke sama-semiconductors phakathi nomnotho ohamba kancane, wengeza ngokuthi izwe libhekene nokuntuleka kwezentengiselwano izinyanga ezingu-13 zilandelana.

Idatha ikhombisile ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla kwamanye amazwe eNingizimu Korea kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-13.6 ngonyaka kwaya ku-$55.12bn ngoMashi. Ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla kwamanye amazwe, okuyizinto ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ezinkulu, kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-34.5 ngoMashi.

Ngo-Ephreli 5, i-World Trade Organisation (WTO) ikhiphe umbiko wayo wakamuva othi “Amathemba Okuhweba Omhlaba Wonke kanye Nezibalo”, ibikezela ukuthi ukukhula komthamo wokuhweba ngezimpahla emhlabeni wonke kuzokwehla kuye ku-1.7% kulo nyaka, futhi yaxwayisa ngezingozi ezivela ekungaqiniseki okufana nengxabano phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine, ukungezwani kwezepolitiki, izinselele zokuphepha kokudla, ukwehla kwamandla emali kanye nokuqiniswa kwenqubomgomo yezimali.

isithombe

I-WTO ilindele ukuthi ukuhweba ngezimpahla emhlabeni wonke kukhule ngamaphesenti angu-1.7 ngo-2023. Lokho kuphansi kunokukhula ngamaphesenti angu-2.7 ngo-2022 kanye nesilinganiso samaphesenti angu-2.6 eminyakeni eyi-12 edlule.

Kodwa-ke, lesi sibalo besiphezulu kunesibikezelo esingu-1.0% esenziwa ngo-Okthoba. Isici esibalulekile lapha ukukhululeka kwezilawuli zaseShayina kulokhu kuqubuka kwalesi sifo, okuyinto i-WTO elindele ukuthi izokhulula isidingo sabathengi futhi ithuthukise ukuhweba kwamazwe ngamazwe.

Ngamafuphi, embikweni wayo wakamuva, izibikezelo ze-WTO zokuhweba kanye nokukhula kwe-GDP zingaphansi kwesilinganiso seminyaka eyi-12 edlule (amaphesenti angu-2.6 kanye namaphesenti angu-2.7 ngokulandelana).


Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Ephreli-12-2023