Ngokusho kwesibikezelo sakamuva se-National Cotton Association of the United States (NCC), indawo yokutshala ukotini omude e-United States ngo-2024 ingamahektha angaba ngu-202,000, ukwanda okungu-37.7%, kusetshenziswa isilinganiso sesivuno sokotini omude iminyaka ecishe ibe yishumi, umkhiqizo ophelele wokotini omude e-United States ngo-2024/25 kulindeleke ukuthi ufinyelele amaphakethe angu-538,000 (amathani angu-117,300).
Ukukhiqizwa kukakotini okusatshalaliswa isikhathi eside eGibhithe kwehle kwaya kumathani angu-85,000 ngesikhathi sokuvuna sika-2023, uma kuqhathaniswa namathani angu-125,000 ngonyaka odlule, ukwehla okungu-32% unyaka nonyaka. Ngo-2024, njengoba ukuthunyelwa kukakotini eGibhithe kusaqinile, imali engenayo yabalimi iphakeme kakhulu kunentengo yokudla kanye namafutha, kanye nonyaka wezimali kahulumeni waseGibhithe ohleliwe ka-2023/2024 wokutshalwa kwezimali kwezolimo kanye nokunisela ekukhuleni kuka-71% unyaka nonyaka, indawo yokutshala ukotini eGibhithe kulindeleke ukuthi ikhuphuke kakhulu. Ngaphezu kwalokho, indawo yokutshala yaseShayina neNdiya, amazwe amabili amakhulu akhiqiza ukotini okusatshalaliswa isikhathi eside, kulindeleke ukuthi ibonise umfutho wokufudumala ngo-2024, futhi kunethuba elikhulu lokuthi kube nephethini "yokuvuna kabili" yendawo kanye nokukhiqizwa okuphelele.
Ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kwemboni, indawo yokutshala ukotini ende emhlabeni wonke ngo-2024 ikhuphuke kakhulu noma ngenxa yezizathu ezilandelayo:
Okokuqala, umphumela wokuqhathanisa intengo phakathi kwekotini ende kanye nekotini esezingeni eliphezulu uyabonakala, futhi intshiseko yabalimi yokugcina nokwandisa ukutshalwa kwekotini ende iphakeme. Njengeshejuli yokuthunyelwa kwekotini ende yaseQingdao Port ngoFebhuwari/Mashi yase-United States iPima cotton 2-2 46/48 (eqinile engu-38/40GPT, 2023/24 cotton entsha) ecashunwe kumasenti angu-220-225/pound, kuyilapho ishejuli yokuthunyelwa efanayo engu-31-336/37 (eqinile engu-28/29GPT) ecashunwe kumasenti angu-101-102.5/pound, Umehluko phakathi kwalokhu okubili cishe ucishe ube amasenti angu-120 ngepound. Kusukela ngo-2023/24, hhayi nje kuphela intengo yokuthenga ikotini ende yaseXinjiang ephezulu kakhulu kunekotini esezingeni eliphezulu, kodwa futhi nesilinganiso sokotini ende sishiye ikotini esezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu, futhi imali engenayo yabalimi abatshala ikotini ende iphakeme kakhulu kunekotini esezingeni eliphezulu.
Okwesibili, ukotini ungcono futhi uvelele kakhulu kunommbila, ukolweni, ubhontshisi kanye nezinye izitshalo. Ngokombono wezibalo, intengo yesikhathi esizayo sikakotini esisha (inkontileka kaDisemba 2024) iphansi ngamasenti angu-3.5 (4%) kunesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule (inkontileka kaDisemba 2023), kodwa intengo yesikhathi esizayo sikakotini esikhathini esifanayo ngo-2024 yehle cishe ngo-20% kanti isikhathi esizayo sikakotini sehle ngo-13%. Ngaphezu kwalokho, umthamo wesikhathi esizayo sikakotini se-ICE wenyuka kakhulu ngesikhathi seNtwasahlobo, kuyilapho isikhathi esizayo sikakotini nokolweni sasiqhubeka nokuwa, futhi umphumela wentengo kakotini wawuya uvelela kakhulu. Vele, ukotini omude uthandwa kakhulu ngabalimi kunekotoni esezingeni eliphansi kanye nezinye izitshalo.
Okwesithathu, muva nje, isifunda sikakotini esisentshonalanga ye-United States esikhiqiza ukotini i-Pima siyaqhubeka nokwamukela imvula, umswakama womhlabathi uthuthukisiwe kakhulu, izinga lokushiywa lizoncipha kakhulu kunaseminyakeni emibili edlule, futhi ukukhula kokutshalwa kukakotini okuhlala isikhathi eside kanye nomkhiqizo kulindeleke ukuthi kube namandla. Isibikezelo sakamuva se-United States Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration sibonisa ukuthi isimo sesomiso eningizimu-ntshonalanga ye-United States kulo nyaka sizothuthuka kakhulu, futhi umkhuba omuhle uzoqhubeka kuze kube okungenani ngoMeyi, intshiseko yokutshalwa kukakotini + usizo lwesimo sezulu, indawo kakotini eseningizimu-ntshonalanga kanye nendawo kakotini esentshonalanga ngeke nje kunciphise kakhulu izinga lokushiywa, kodwa futhi kuzokwandisa indawo evunwayo ngo-2024, futhi ukusebenza kukakotini ohlala isikhathi eside kuzoba ukubuya okunamandla.
Umthombo: Isikhungo Solwazi Ngokotini saseShayina
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Feb-20-2024